Hawaii Governor 2026 General Election
The Hawaii Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Josh Green the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Gary Cordery at 0%. Josh Green is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Josh Green (incumbent) — 100%
- Gary Cordery — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.