Georgia Senate 2026 Rep Primary

The Georgia Senate rep primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model favors Mike Collins at 69%, ahead of Buddy Carter at 16% in a 5-candidate field. Mike Collins leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Mike Collins — 69%
  2. Buddy Carter — 16%
  3. Derek Dooley — 11%
  4. John F. Coyne III — 2%
  5. Jonathan McColumn — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model