Georgia Governor 2026 Dem Primary

The Georgia Governor dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model has Keisha Lance Bottoms narrowly ahead of Derrick Jackson, 44% to 23% in a 7-candidate field. Jason Esteves leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Keisha Lance Bottoms — 44%
2. Derrick Jackson — 23%
3. Jason Esteves — 16%
4. Geoff Duncan — 9%
5. Mike Thurmond — 7%
6. Olujimi Brown — 1%
7. Amanda Duffy — 1%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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