Georgia Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Georgia Governor dem primary is scheduled for May 19, 2026. The model sees a close race: Keisha Lance Bottoms edges Jason Esteves, 41% to 41% in a 7-candidate field. Jason Esteves leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Keisha Lance Bottoms — 41%
- Jason Esteves — 41%
- Geoff Duncan — 11%
- Mike Thurmond — 2%
- Olujimi Brown — 1%
- Derrick Jackson — 1%
- Amanda Duffy — 1%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.