Florida Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Alex Vindman the clear favorite at 81%, ahead of Angie Nixon at 19%. Alex Vindman leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alex Vindman — 81%
- Angie Nixon — 19%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.