Florida Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Alex Vindman the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Angie Nixon at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Alex Vindman leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alex Vindman — 89%
- Angie Nixon — 3%
- Alan Grayson — 3%
- Joey Atkins — 3%
- Alex Gould — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.