Florida Senate 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida Senate dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Alex Vindman the heavy favorite at 97%, with Angie Nixon at 3%. Alex Vindman leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Alex Vindman — 97%
- Angie Nixon — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.