Florida 28th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 28th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Carlos Giménez the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Democrat Phil Ehr at 24%. Carlos Giménez is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Phil Ehr has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Carlos Giménez (incumbent) — 76%
- Phil Ehr — 24%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.