Florida 28th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 28th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Phil Ehr the heavy favorite at 91%, with previously ran for U.S. Senate at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Phil Ehr leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Phil Ehr — 91%
- previously ran for U.S. Senate — 3%
- Thomas Campione — 3%
- Jim Henry — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.