Florida 26th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 26th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Mario Diaz-Balart the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Nicole Locklin at 0%. Mario Diaz-Balart is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mario Diaz-Balart (incumbent) — 100%
- Nicole Locklin — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.