Florida 25th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 25th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Jared Moskowitz the heavy favorite at 97%, with Oliver Adams Larkin at 3%. Jared Moskowitz leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jared Moskowitz — 97%
- Oliver Adams Larkin — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.