Florida 24th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Florida 24th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model sees a close race: Rudy Moise edges Oliver G. Gilbert III, 22% to 15% in a 7-candidate field. Rudy Moise leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Rudy Moise — 22%
2. Oliver G. Gilbert III — 15%
3. Kendrick Meek — 15%
4. Shevrin "Shev" Jones — 12%
5. Jean Monestime — 12%
6. Roderick Vereen — 12%
7. Marshall L. Davis Sr. — 12%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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