Florida 24th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Florida 24th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model has Oliver G. Gilbert III narrowly ahead of Rudy Moise, 27% to 15% in a 7-candidate field. Oliver G. Gilbert III leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Oliver G. Gilbert III — 27%
2. Rudy Moise — 15%
3. Kendrick Meek — 15%
4. Shevrin "Shev" Jones — 11%
5. Jean Monestime — 11%
6. Roderick Vereen — 10%
7. Marshall L. Davis Sr. — 10%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.

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