Florida 22th — House 2026 General Election

The Florida 22th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Pia Dandiya at 58%, ahead of Republican Michael Carbonara at 42%. Michael Carbonara leads the field in reported fundraising and Pia Dandiya has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Pia Dandiya — 58%
  2. Michael Carbonara — 42%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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