Florida 21th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 21th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Brian Mast the clear favorite at 83%, ahead of Democrat James Martin at 17%. Brian Mast is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Brian Mast (incumbent) — 83%
- James Martin — 17%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.