Florida 21th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 21th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Bernard Taylor at 61%, ahead of James Martin at 39%. Bernard Taylor leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bernard Taylor — 61%
- James Martin — 39%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.