Florida 21th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 21th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes James Martin the heavy favorite at 91%, with Bernard Taylor at 5% in a 3-candidate field. James Martin leads the field in reported fundraising and Bernard Taylor has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- James Martin — 91%
- Bernard Taylor — 5%
- Edward O'Connor — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.