Florida 20th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Florida 20th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Debbie Wasserman Schultz at 74%, ahead of Elijah Manley at 19% in a 5-candidate field. Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Debbie Wasserman Schultz — 74%
2. Elijah Manley — 19%
3. Dale Holness — 2%
4. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick — 2%
5. Luther Campbell — 2%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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