Florida 20th — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Florida 20th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Debbie Wasserman Schultz the clear favorite at 82%, ahead of Elijah Manley at 4% in a 7-candidate field. Debbie Wasserman Schultz is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) — 82%
  2. Elijah Manley — 4%
  3. Dale Holness — 3%
  4. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick — 3%
  5. Luther Campbell — 3%
  6. Mark Douglas — 3%
  7. Maisha Williams — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model