Florida 19th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Florida 19th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Jim Oberweis at 59%, ahead of Catalina Lauf at 9% in a 8-candidate field. Jim Oberweis leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Jim Oberweis — 59%
2. Catalina Lauf — 9%
3. Jim Schwartzel — 7%
4. Ola Hawatmeh — 5%
5. Chris Collins — 5%
6. Madison Cawthorn — 5%
7. John Strand — 5%
8. Mike Pedersen — 5%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model