Florida 19th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 19th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Victor Arias at 62%, ahead of Howard Sapp at 25% in a 3-candidate field. Victor Arias leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Victor Arias — 62%
- Howard Sapp — 25%
- Robert M. Neeld — 13%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.