Florida 19th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 19th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Howard Sapp at 63%, ahead of Victor Arias at 31% in a 3-candidate field. Howard Sapp leads the field in reported fundraising. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Howard Sapp — 63%
- Victor Arias — 31%
- Jared Kane — 7%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.