Florida 19th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 19th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Howard Sapp the clear favorite at 78%, ahead of Victor Arias at 13% in a 3-candidate field. Howard Sapp leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Howard Sapp — 78%
- Victor Arias — 13%
- Robert M. Neeld — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.