Florida 17th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 17th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Matthew Montavon the clear favorite at 85%, ahead of Allen Spence at 15%. Matthew Montavon leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Matthew Montavon — 85%
- Allen Spence — 15%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.