Florida 17th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 17th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Matthew Montavon at 65%, ahead of Allen L. Spence Jr. at 35%. Matthew Montavon leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Matthew Montavon — 65%
- Allen L. Spence Jr. — 35%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.