Florida 16th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Florida 16th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Sydney Gruters the heavy favorite at 94%, with Eddie Speir at 3% in a 3-candidate field. Sydney Gruters leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Sydney Gruters — 94%
  2. Eddie Speir — 3%
  3. Edward Pope — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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