Florida 16th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 16th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Eddie Speir at 66%, ahead of Edward Pope at 25% in a 3-candidate field. Eddie Speir leads the field in reported fundraising and Sydney Gruters has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Eddie Speir — 66%
- Edward Pope — 25%
- Sydney Gruters — 9%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.