Florida 15th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 15th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Laurel Lee the heavy favorite at 97%, with Steve Champion at 3%. Laurel Lee is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Laurel Lee (incumbent) — 97%
- Steve Champion — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.