Florida 15th — House 2026 General Election

The Florida 15th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Laurel Lee the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Jose Engell at 0%. Laurel Lee is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Laurel Lee (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Jose Engell — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model