Florida 15th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 15th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Laurel Lee the clear favorite at 76%, ahead of Democrat Robert People at 24%. Laurel Lee is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Laurel Lee (incumbent) — 76%
- Robert People — 24%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.