Florida 15th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 15th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Robert People at 70%, ahead of Chris Irizarry at 24% in a 3-candidate field. Robert People leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Robert People — 70%
- Chris Irizarry — 24%
- Jose Engell — 6%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.