Florida 15th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 15th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Robert People the heavy favorite at 90%, with Chris Irizarry at 10%. Robert People leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Robert People — 90%
- Chris Irizarry — 10%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.