Florida 14th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 14th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model sees a close race: Dan Weldon edges Rocky Rochford, 13% to 10% in a 11-candidate field. Dan Weldon leads the field in reported fundraising and Mike Beltran has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Dan Weldon — 13%
- Rocky Rochford — 10%
- John Peters — 9%
- Kevin Steele — 9%
- Mike Beltran — 9%
- Shay Williams — 9%
- Ergin Tek — 8%
- Gavriel Soriano — 8%
+3 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.