Florida 14th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 14th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model sees a close race: Mike Beltran edges Kevin Steele, 47% to 42% in a 8-candidate field. Kevin Steele leads the field in reported fundraising and Mike Beltran has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Beltran — 47%
- Kevin Steele — 42%
- Bea Valenti — 2%
- Rocky Rochford — 2%
- John Peters — 2%
- Ergin Tek — 2%
- Michael Marcel — 2%
- Gavriel Soriano — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.