Florida 14th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 14th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Mike Beltran at 67%, ahead of Democrat Kathy Castor at 33%. Mike Beltran leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements and incumbent Kathy Castor trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Beltran — 67%
- Kathy Castor (incumbent) — 33%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.