Florida 14th — House 2026 General Election

The Florida 14th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Democrat Kathy Castor at 58%, ahead of Republican John Peters at 42%. Kathy Castor is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Kathy Castor (incumbent) — 58%
  2. John Peters — 42%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated September 11, 2026.

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