Florida 14th — House 2026 General Election

The Florida 14th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Kathy Castor the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Mike Beltran at 0%. Kathy Castor is the incumbent and leads the field in reported fundraising and Mike Beltran has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Kathy Castor (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Mike Beltran — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model