Florida 12th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 12th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Gus Bilirakis the heavy favorite at 97%, with Samantha June at 3%. Gus Bilirakis is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) — 97%
- Samantha June — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.