Florida 12th — House 2026 General Election

The Florida 12th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Gus Bilirakis the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Darren McAuley at 0%. Gus Bilirakis is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) — 100%
  2. Darren McAuley — 0%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model