Florida 12th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 12th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Darren McAuley the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Kimberly Overman at 11%. Darren McAuley leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Darren McAuley — 89%
- Kimberly Overman — 11%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.