Florida 11th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 11th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Barbie Harden Hall the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Royal Webster at 6% in a 3-candidate field. Barbie Harden Hall leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Barbie Harden Hall — 89%
- Royal Webster — 6%
- Dan Williams — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.