Florida 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model sees a close race: Democrat Darren Soto edges Republican Thomas Chalifoux, 51% to 49%. Darren Soto is the incumbent and has the most tracked endorsements and Thomas Chalifoux leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Darren Soto (incumbent) — 51%
- Thomas Chalifoux — 49%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.