Florida 9th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 9th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model favors Republican Thomas E. Chalifoux Jr. at 71%, ahead of Democrat Darren Soto at 29%. Thomas E. Chalifoux Jr. leads the field in reported fundraising, Darren Soto has the most tracked endorsements, and incumbent Darren Soto trails in the forecast. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Thomas E. Chalifoux Jr. — 71%
- Darren Soto (incumbent) — 29%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.