Florida 7th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 7th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Bale Dalton at 70%, ahead of Marialana Kinter at 27% in a 3-candidate field. Bale Dalton leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Bale Dalton — 70%
- Marialana Kinter — 27%
- Alan Grayson — 2%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.