Florida 6th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Florida 6th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Randy Fine the clear favorite at 83%, ahead of Charles Gambaro at 4% in a 7-candidate field. Randy Fine is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Randy Fine (incumbent) — 83%
  2. Charles Gambaro — 4%
  3. Aaron Baker — 3%
  4. Dan Bilzerian — 3%
  5. Ernie Audino — 3%
  6. Alexandra Van Cleef — 3%
  7. Joshua Vasquez — 3%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model