Florida 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican John Rutherford the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Rachel Grage at 0%. John Rutherford is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- John Rutherford (incumbent) — 100%
- Rachel Grage — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.