Florida 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary

The Florida 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Seth Harp at 70%, ahead of George Hubac at 11% in a 4-candidate field. Seth Harp leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

1. Seth Harp — 70%
2. George Hubac — 11%
3. Tom Wells — 10%
4. Troy Albers — 8%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.

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