Florida 3rd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 3rd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Seth Harp the clear favorite at 90%, ahead of George Hubac at 3% in a 4-candidate field. Seth Harp leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Seth Harp — 90%
- George Hubac — 3%
- Tom Wells — 3%
- Troy Albers — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.