Florida 2nd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 2nd — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Keith Gross the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Evan Power at 5% in a 8-candidate field. Keith Gross leads the field in reported fundraising and Evan Power has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Keith Gross — 80%
- Evan Power — 5%
- Austin Rogers — 3%
- Jim Norton — 3%
- Luke Murphy — 3%
- Audie Rowell — 3%
- Nick Lewis — 3%
- George Hensarling — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.