Florida 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Amanda Green at 65%, ahead of Nic Zateslo at 16% in a 4-candidate field. Amanda Green leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Amanda Green — 65%
- Nic Zateslo — 16%
- Brice Barnes — 14%
- Yen Bailey — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.