Florida 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model has Nic Zateslo narrowly ahead of Amanda Green, 50% to 29% in a 4-candidate field. Nic Zateslo leads the field in reported fundraising and Amanda Green has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Nic Zateslo — 50%
- Amanda Green — 29%
- Yen Bailey — 13%
- Brice Barnes — 8%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.