Florida 1st — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida 1st — House rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes Jimmy Patronis the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of John Frankman at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Jimmy Patronis is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jimmy Patronis (incumbent) — 89%
- John Frankman — 3%
- Douglas C. Chico — 3%
- Cedric L. Alexander — 3%
- Gavin Solomon — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.