Florida 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Florida 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Jimmy Patronis the heavy favorite at 100%, with Democrat Gay Valimont at 0%. Jimmy Patronis is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jimmy Patronis (incumbent) — 100%
- Gay Valimont — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.