Florida Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Florida Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model favors Byron Donalds at 70%, ahead of Paul Renner at 3% in a 14-candidate field. Byron Donalds leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Byron Donalds — 70%
- Paul Renner — 3%
- James Fishback — 3%
- Jay Collins — 2%
- Charles Burkett — 2%
- Shea Cruel — 2%
- Jenny Patricia Curtman — 2%
- Jim Holcomb — 2%
+6 more candidates
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.