Florida Governor 2026 General Election
The Florida Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Byron Donalds the clear favorite at 80%, ahead of Democrat Jerry Demings at 20%. Byron Donalds leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Byron Donalds — 80%
- Jerry Demings — 20%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.