Florida Governor 2026 General Election

The Florida Governor general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Republican Byron Donalds the clear favorite at 77%, ahead of Democrat David Jolly at 23%. Byron Donalds leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Byron Donalds — 77%
  2. David Jolly — 23%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated October 26, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model