Florida Governor 2026 Dem Primary
The Florida Governor dem primary is scheduled for August 18, 2026. The model makes David Jolly the clear favorite at 79%, ahead of Jerry Demings at 18% in a 3-candidate field. David Jolly leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- David Jolly — 79%
- Jerry Demings — 18%
- Dayna Marie Foster — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.