Connecticut 5th — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Connecticut 5th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Chris Shea the heavy favorite at 92%, with Michele Botelho at 5% in a 3-candidate field. Chris Shea leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Chris Shea — 92%
- Michele Botelho — 5%
- Jonathan De Barros — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.