Connecticut 5th — House 2026 General Election
The Connecticut 5th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Jahana Hayes the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Jonathan De Barros at 0%. Jahana Hayes is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jahana Hayes (incumbent) — 100%
- Jonathan De Barros — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.