Connecticut 5th — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Connecticut 5th — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Jahana Hayes the heavy favorite at 97%, with Winter Solomita at 3%. Jahana Hayes is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Jahana Hayes (incumbent) — 97%
- Winter Solomita — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.