Connecticut 4th — House 2026 Rep Primary

The Connecticut 4th — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Michael Goldstein the clear favorite at 89%, ahead of Daniel Miressi at 6% in a 3-candidate field. Michael Goldstein leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Michael Goldstein — 89%
  2. Daniel Miressi — 6%
  3. Luz Bueno — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.

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