Connecticut 3rd — House 2026 Rep Primary
The Connecticut 3rd — House rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Christopher Lancia the heavy favorite at 95%, with Rafael Irizarry at 5%. Christopher Lancia leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Christopher Lancia — 95%
- Rafael Irizarry — 5%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.