Connecticut 2nd — House 2026 Dem Primary
The Connecticut 2nd — House dem primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Joe Courtney the heavy favorite at 96%, with Kyle Gauck at 4%. Joe Courtney is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Joe Courtney (incumbent) — 96%
- Kyle Gauck — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.