Connecticut 1st — House 2026 General Election
The Connecticut 1st — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat John Larson the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Gavin Solomon at 0%. John Larson is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- John Larson (incumbent) — 100%
- Gavin Solomon — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.