Connecticut Governor 2026 Rep Primary
The Connecticut Governor rep primary is scheduled for August 11, 2026. The model makes Ryan Fazio the clear favorite at 88%, ahead of Betsy McCaughey at 3% in a 5-candidate field. Ryan Fazio leads the field in reported fundraising and has the most tracked endorsements. Public polling is available for this race and feeds the forecast alongside fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Ryan Fazio — 88%
- Betsy McCaughey — 3%
- Timothy Wilcox — 3%
- Matthew Corey — 3%
- Tim Ackert — 3%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.