Colorado 5th — House 2026 Primary

The Colorado 5th — House primary is scheduled for June 30, 2026. The model makes Roy Matthewson the heavy favorite at 92%, with Mark Elworth at 4% in a 3-candidate field. Roy Matthewson leads the field in reported fundraising. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.

Current win probabilities

  1. Roy Matthewson — 92%
  2. Mark Elworth — 4%
  3. Steven Fuller — 4%

Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 3, 2026.

All 2026 race forecasts · About the model