California 52th — House 2026 General Election
The California 52th — House general election is on November 3, 2026. The model makes Democrat Juan Vargas the heavy favorite at 100%, with Republican Jeff Belle at 0%. Juan Vargas is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Juan Vargas (incumbent) — 100%
- Jeff Belle — 0%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results. Last updated July 23, 2026.