California 50th — House 2026 Primary
The California 50th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model favors Democrat Scott Peters at 73%, ahead of Democrat Aishwarya Mitra at 12% in a 5-candidate field. Scott Peters is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Scott Peters (incumbent) — 73%
- Aishwarya Mitra — 12%
- Joe Shea — 6%
- Stephen Cohen — 5%
- Tim Hatim Arnous — 4%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.