California 49th — House 2026 Primary
The California 49th — House primary is scheduled for June 2, 2026. The model has Democrat Mike Levin narrowly ahead of Republican Star Parker, 50% to 34% in a 3-candidate field. Mike Levin is the incumbent, leads the field in reported fundraising, and has the most tracked endorsements. No public polling is available for this race, so the forecast leans on fundraising, endorsements, candidate profiles, and historical results.
Current win probabilities
- Mike Levin (incumbent) — 50%
- Star Parker — 34%
- Armen Kurdian — 16%
Probabilities update daily from polls, fundraising, endorsements, and historical results.